What this lesson is about
The formula that made modern options markets possible, the five real-world inputs behind it, and a genuinely poignant footnote about who did and didn't win the Nobel Prize for it.
Part 1 of 2
The Black-Scholes model, published in 1973 by economists Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, with significant contributions from Robert Merton, is the foundation that made modern options markets possible. Before this model, pricing options was informal and less liquid. Options trading was a small part of the market. The model gave traders, market makers, and exchanges a clear, mathematical reference for an option's theoretical value.
The model uses five key inputs. The underlying asset's current price, the option's strike price, time until expiration, the risk-free interest rate, and volatility (the expected size of future price swings). Plug in those five numbers, and the model gives you a theoretical fair price for the option. Interestingly, this process is the reverse of how implied volatility is calculated: take the model's four inputs plus the actual market price, and then solve for the volatility that makes the equation work.
Quick check
Who is credited with developing the foundational options pricing model published in 1973, with significant contributions also credited to a third economist?
Black, Scholes, and Merton's combined work in the early 1970s produced the foundational framework still referenced throughout options markets today.
Part 2 of 2
Quick check
What are the five key inputs to the standard Black-Scholes options pricing model?
These five inputs are the complete set the basic model requires to produce a theoretical option price.
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